Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.407739 0.524559 0.651118 0.796634 0.957706 1.129122 1.323990
2025-08-03 0.261273 0.419678 0.608859 0.842813 1.117158 1.422761 1.783554
2025-08-10 0.174056 0.343155 0.562367 0.848348 1.196810 1.596044 2.077825
2025-08-17 0.095628 0.253900 0.482277 0.798963 1.200640 1.673780 2.256683
2025-08-24 0.043854 0.180828 0.407232 0.742493 1.184820 1.719378 2.390154
2025-08-31 0.018955 0.138306 0.365871 0.722911 1.209197 1.808545 2.570915
2025-09-07 0.007572 0.114060 0.347235 0.730801 1.266023 1.935238 2.794771
2025-09-14 0.001174 0.088878 0.320884 0.723613 1.300234 2.031927 2.980900
2025-09-21 NaN 0.064798 0.289609 0.704842 1.315990 2.103394 3.134708
2025-09-28 NaN 0.060690 0.297674 0.746624 1.414472 2.279869 3.417467
2025-10-05 NaN 0.059621 0.311958 0.798213 1.526615 2.473984 3.722254
2025-10-12 NaN 0.055663 0.318585 0.836968 1.620631 2.644781 3.998290
2025-10-19 NaN 0.057982 0.342287 0.907165 1.763697 2.884838 4.367988
2025-10-26 NaN 0.054461 0.351087 0.953172 1.873657 3.083646 4.688570
2025-11-02 NaN 0.043508 0.337478 0.960009 1.926813 3.207886 4.915486
2025-11-09 NaN 0.024590 0.291453 0.907000 1.891436 3.214923 4.994641
2025-11-16 NaN 0.010531 0.244830 0.846619 1.841406 3.199941 5.043868
2025-11-23 NaN 0.004742 0.221359 0.825607 1.847538 3.257790 5.183595
2025-11-30 NaN 0.002533 0.213594 0.834073 1.897731 3.374452 5.398047
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000648 0.198618 0.826364 1.922286 3.455994 5.567271
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.178841 0.806222 1.926306 3.508871 5.699155
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.189016 0.851032 2.032550 3.701675 6.011573
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000005 0.203885 0.906251 2.155351 3.917315 6.353656